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Live prediction market odds for TX-03 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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TX-03 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Keith Self (R)95¢1.05xKalshiEvan Hunt (D)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Keith Self (R) about a 93.7% chance. Evan Hunt (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Traders give Keith Self (R) about a 93.7% chance. Evan Hunt (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-03 House Election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, after all votes are counted and certified.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KS
Keith Self (R)
94%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.9%91¢95¢5¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
EH
Evan Hunt (D)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi12.20x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.9%2¢8¢92¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Keith Self (R)

Keith Self is the U.S. Representative for Texas's 3rd congressional district, serving since January 3, 2023. Prior to this, he served as Collin County Judge from 2007 to 2018. His extensive military background and leadership in local government underscore his commitment to public service.

About Evan Hunt (D)

Evan Hunt is a retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel and combat aviator. He has held executive roles in the defense and aerospace industry, including positions at Raytheon. His military background and leadership experience make him a notable candidate in the Texas's 3rd Congressional District election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.4%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Keith Self (R)

93.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TX-03 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TX-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the TX-03 House Election winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

How do odds change for the TX-03 House Election winner?

Odds fluctuate based on polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign developments leading up to the election.

What platforms are tracking the TX-03 House Election winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What does the TX-03 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TX-03 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Keith Self (R): 92.9¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket; Evan Hunt (D): 6.9¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $131K lifetime bet $1.7K on No at 95¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?Trade on Kalshi →

Prediction Market Track Record

Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton PereaLOSTPre-event: 51%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea

Resolved

2026-09-15

LOSTEvan Hunt (D)
Pre-event: 51%