About This Market
Traders give Pat Fallon (R) about a 94.0% chance. Jason Pearce (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Traders give Pat Fallon (R) about a 94.0% chance. Jason Pearce (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-04 House Election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official certified results of the election, which will determine the representative for Texas's 4th congressional district.



