Live prediction market odds for TX-06 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Jake Ellzey (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-06 House Election Winner.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-06 House Election Winner. This market resolves based on the official results of the election held on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jake Ellzey (R)WINNER | Yes |
Danny Minton (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The winner is determined by the official election results announced after voting concludes on November 3, 2026. Votes are counted and certified by election officials in Texas.
Market odds fluctuate based on factors such as candidate fundraising, campaign events, and public opinion polls. Significant developments in the race can lead to rapid shifts in betting prices.
Polls in Texas typically close at 7 PM CST on election day, November 3, 2026. Voters in line at that time are allowed to cast their ballots.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
