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Live prediction market odds for TX-17 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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TX-17 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Pete Sessions (R)95¢1.05xKalshiCasey Shepard (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Pete Sessions (R) about a 94.3% chance. Casey Shepard (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Pete Sessions (R) about a 94.3% chance. Casey Shepard (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-17 House Election Winner. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the completion of voting in Texas's 17th congressional district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
PS
Pete Sessions (R)
94%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.9%93¢95¢5¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
CS
Casey Shepard (D)
6%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢9¢91¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.2%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Pete Sessions (R)

Pete Sessions is the current U.S. Representative for Texas's 17th Congressional District, serving his 14th term in Congress. He previously chaired the House Rules Committee from 2013 to 2019 and led the National Republican Congressional Committee from 2009 to 2013. His extensive legislative experience and leadership roles make him a significant figure in Texas politics.

About Casey Shepard (D)

Casey Shepard is a Waco attorney and public defender representing indigent clients in McLennan County. He previously won the Democratic primary runoff for Texas's 17th Congressional District in 2026. Shepard's legal career and advocacy for underrepresented communities underscore his commitment to justice and public service.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Pete Sessions (R)

94.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TX-17 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TX-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-17 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the TX-17 House Election?

The TX-17 House Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election for congressional seats across the United States.

How will the winner of the TX-17 House Election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results from the voting in Texas's 17th congressional district. Votes will be counted and reported after the polls close on election day.

Which platforms are tracking the TX-17 House Election Winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking this election market. They provide real-time odds based on developments leading up to the election.

What does the TX-17 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TX-17 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Pete Sessions (R): 93.9¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Casey Shepard (D): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.2¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Pete Sessions Drops 8 Points in TX-17 Despite a $9,000 OpponentSessions fell from 95% to 86% in three days with no local catalyst. Forecasters still give him a 98.4% win probability in the R+21 district.Sep 24, 2026
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Trader up $116K lifetime bet $1.6K on Yes at 94¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →