Live prediction market odds for TX-26 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Brandon Gill (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-26 House Election Winner.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-26 House Election Winner. The market resolves based on the official results of the election held on November 3, 2026, which will determine the representative for Texas's 26th congressional district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Brandon Gill (R)WINNER | Yes |
Steven Shook (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-26 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-26 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The TX-26 House Election will determine who represents Texas's 26th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This election is part of the broader 2026 midterm elections.
Results for the TX-26 House Election will be announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026. Official certification of results may take additional time.
Odds in the TX-26 House Election market are influenced by candidate polling, fundraising efforts, and campaign events leading up to the election. Changes in voter sentiment and demographic shifts in the district also play a role.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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