About This Market
Traders give Before Jan 21, 2029 about a 7.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Live prediction market odds for Will the US take control of any part of Canada?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give Before Jan 21, 2029 about a 7.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Before Jan 21, 2029: 7.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, Before Jan 21, 2029 at 7.5¢ implies about a 7.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.