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Live prediction market odds for Winnipeg mayoral election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Winnipeg mayoral election winner?

2026-10-28

Best price · tap to trade

Scott Gillingham57¢1.75xKalshiDon Woodstock4¢25.00xKalshiMazher Alam12¢8.33xPolymarket
Compare all 10 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Scott Gillingham about a 55.0% chance. Don Woodstock follows at 3.5%, Mazher Alam follows at 2.8%, and Noah Redden follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Scott Gillingham about a 55.0% chance. Don Woodstock follows at 3.5%, Mazher Alam follows at 2.8%, and Noah Redden follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Winnipeg mayoral election winner set for October 28, 2026. This election is crucial as it will determine the leadership direction for the city, impacting local policies and governance.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SG
Scott Gillingham
55%
Kalshi57¢
Polymarket63¢
Kalshi1.75x57¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
54.0%51¢57¢43¢49¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.0%49¢63¢37¢51¢
DW
Don Woodstock
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%1¢4¢96¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.9%2¢4¢96¢98¢
MA
Mazher Alam
single venue3%
—
Polymarket12¢
Polymarket8.06x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
2.8%3¢12¢88¢97¢
NR
Noah Redden
single venue1%
—
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket62.50x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.9%0¢2¢98¢100¢
JP
Joshua Pagdato
single venue0%
—
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket200.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.3%0¢1¢100¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates10
Leader

Scott Gillingham

55.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Winnipeg mayoral election winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Scott Gillingham wins the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Winnipeg mayoral election scheduled?

The Winnipeg mayoral election is scheduled for October 28, 2026. This date is significant for voters as it marks the opportunity to influence the city's future leadership.

What platforms are tracking the Winnipeg mayoral election winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the Winnipeg mayoral election winner. They provide real-time odds reflecting market sentiment about potential candidates.

Why does the Winnipeg mayoral election matter?

The outcome of the Winnipeg mayoral election will shape the city's policies and governance for the coming term. Local issues such as infrastructure, public safety, and economic development are at stake.

What does the Winnipeg mayoral election winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Winnipeg mayoral election winner odds?

The latest available prices are Scott Gillingham: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket; Don Woodstock: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket; Mazher Alam: 2.8¢ on Polymarket; Noah Redden: 0.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Gillingham's Re-Election Odds Fall to 52% as 13 Candidates EnterIncumbent shed 10 percentage points in three days. Kevin Klein's entry and a 13-candidate field are fracturing his coalition.Sep 26, 2026Gillingham Rebounds to 63% as 13-Candidate Field Splits OppositionTraders reversed a drop to 46% after concluding vote-splitting favors the incumbent. Klein's rocky entry signals no challenger is consolidating.Sep 23, 2026Gillingham Falls to 46% as Winnipeg Mayoral Field Reaches 13Incumbent's probability fell 9 points in three days; two new candidates entered in one week, including the race's first female contender.Sep 17, 2026Klein Entry Cuts Gillingham's Winnipeg Mayor Odds 16 Points in 3 DaysKevin Klein's Sept. 1 candidacy pushed Gillingham's implied probability from 72% to 56%, turning a clear favourite into a near toss-up with 52 days until voting.Sep 6, 2026