What factors influence the odds for the Wisconsin Governor race?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign funding are critical factors that shape the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in the state can sway predictions.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of an event's outcome. Prices reflect the collective belief in the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is at stake in the Wisconsin gubernatorial election?

Control of the governorship can significantly impact state legislation and governance. The election outcome may also affect national political trends and party strength.

What does the Wisconsin Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Wisconsin Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Crowley (D): 83.0¢ on Kalshi, 85.5¢ on Polymarket, 80.0¢ on PredictIt; Tom Tiffany (R): 17.0¢ on Kalshi, 14.5¢ on Polymarket, 20.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Wisconsin Governor winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Wisconsin Governor winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, David Crowley (D) at 84.3¢ implies about a 84.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.