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News AnalysisUtahBig 12 ChampionshipBYUHoly WarCollege Football

College Football Big 12 Championship Winner: Latest News

Updated November 3, 2026First published October 21, 20263 min readJoseph Francia, Market Analyst
Utah UtesPolymarketKalshi

50%Up8 ptsfrom 42% when updated, 9 days ago

  • Traders bid Utah up after its blowout at Cincinnati, but Saturday's Holy War against BYU will test that support.
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College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

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Background

The Big 12 football champion will be decided in the Big 12 Championship Game on Friday, Dec. 4, at 7 p.m. CT at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, on ABC. The winner earns the conference's automatic College Football Playoff bid. Utah, the Big 12's only unbeaten team at 5-0 in conference play, leads the race, with Texas Tech and BYU one game back. Oklahoma State, a game further behind after a loss at Houston, is a longer shot.


Nov. 3, 2026: Utah's Big 12 Title Odds Hit 42% After Cincinnati Rout, BYU Next

Utah's Big 12 Championship Chances Rise to 42% After 49-25 Win at Cincinnati

Utah's chances of winning the Big 12 championship rose after its 49-25 win at Cincinnati on Oct. 31, which left the Utes 8-0 overall and 5-0 in conference play, the Big 12's only unbeaten team, and No. 3 in the AP poll. On Polymarket, Utah's implied probability in the College Football Big 12 Championship Winner market went from 32% to 42% over three days, a gain of roughly 10 percentage points. That left it at 42% on Nov. 3.

Utah led 42-6 at halftime and finished with 534 yards. Devon Dampier threw for 260 yards and three touchdowns, according to Cronkite News.

Utah's price rose from about 32% to 42% following its 49-25 win at Cincinnati on Oct. 31.

The win extended Utah's active winning streak to 14 games, the longest in FBS. Texas Tech and BYU sit one game back at 4-1 in league play, per WeSpeakMedia.

Coach Morgan Scalley did not treat the rout as finished work. At his Monday press conference, he said Utah must fix:

  • second-half run fits
  • special teams
  • second-half turnovers

He also said Kelvin Obot is out for the season with a lower-leg injury. Running back LJ Martin is expected back.

Utah Faces No. 7 BYU in the Nov. 7 Holy War Next

Utah hosts No. 7 BYU (7-1) at Rice-Eccles Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 7. According to Sports Illustrated, the conference's automatic College Football Playoff bid is at stake. BYU reached 7-1 by beating Arizona State 27-20 on Oct. 31, according to the AP.

A Utah win would push it to 6-0 in the Big 12 and keep the unbeaten position that drove this repricing. A loss would end the unbeaten run and pull BYU level in the conference loss column. After Saturday's game, check whether Utah's 42% holds.


Earlier Updates

Oct. 21, 2026: Oklahoma State's Big 12 Title Odds Fall to 4% After Loss at Houston

Oklahoma St10% → 4%▼6

On October 21, Oklahoma State's chances of winning the Big 12 title fell to 4% after a 35-32 loss at No. 20 Houston on October 17, which left the Cowboys 2-1 in conference play and one game behind unbeaten BYU, Texas Tech and Utah. Conner Weigman threw five touchdown passes for Houston, and the Cowboys never led after trailing 14-3 at halftime.

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The story so far: College Football Big 12 Championship Winner

3 updates · Oct 4 – Oct 19