Live prediction market odds for AZ-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the AZ-01 House race.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the AZ-01 House race. This election outcome will influence party control in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Amish Shah (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Jay Feely (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AZ-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and historical voting trends also play a crucial role.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and party dynamics. A win for one party may signal broader trends in voter behavior.
The election is set for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which typically sees high voter turnout.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
