Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for AZ-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

AZ-01 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Amish Shah (D)77¢1.30xPolymarket USJay Feely (R)23¢4.35xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Amish Shah (D) about a 76.7% chance. Jay Feely (R) follows at 23.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.0 percentage points.

Traders give Amish Shah (D) about a 76.7% chance. Jay Feely (R) follows at 23.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the AZ-01 House race. This election outcome will influence party control in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
AS
Amish Shah (D)ARB
77%
Kalshi78¢
Polymarket US77¢
Polymarket77¢
PredictIt87¢
Polymarket US1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PredictItPredictIt
87.0%82¢87¢13¢18¢
JF
Jay Feely (R)
24%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket US25¢
Polymarket24¢
PredictIt27¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
25.0%24¢25¢75¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
PredictItPredictIt
11.0%6¢27¢73¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Candidate Spotlight

About Amish Shah (D)

Amish Shah is a Democratic nominee for Arizona's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 election. He served as a member of the Arizona House of Representatives from 2019 to 2024. Shah is recognized for his bipartisan legislative record and his background as an emergency physician.

About Jay Feely (R)

Jay Feely is a former NFL kicker and current Republican candidate for Arizona's 1st Congressional District. He played 14 seasons in the NFL, including four with the Arizona Cardinals, and later served as a CBS Sports analyst. Feely has been active in community service, founding the Feely Family Foundation in 2012 to support youth and educational initiatives.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread14.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Amish Shah (D)

76.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AZ-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for AZ-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the AZ-01 House race?

Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and historical voting trends also play a crucial role.

How does the AZ-01 House race impact national politics?

The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and party dynamics. A win for one party may signal broader trends in voter behavior.

When is the AZ-01 House election scheduled?

The election is set for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which typically sees high voter turnout.

What does the AZ-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest AZ-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Amish Shah (D): 77.0¢ on Kalshi, 76.5¢ on Polymarket, 87.0¢ on PredictIt, 76.5¢ on Polymarket US; Jay Feely (R): 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on PredictIt, 25.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

WV-01 House Election Winner

View

Wyoming Governor Election Winner

View

TN-07 House Election Winner

View

Colorado Governor Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Trump Endorsement Flags as Liability as Feely Falls to 20% in AZ-01Feely dropped 10 points in three days on prediction markets. Analysts cite his Trump backing as a risk with independents who register in high numbers across AZ-01.Sep 24, 2026Shah Primary Upset Cuts Republican Odds in AZ-01 from 28% to 16%Amish Shah beat the DCCC-backed candidate on July 21, prompting markets to reprice the race. Polymarket and PredictIt now both sit near 16% for Republicans.Sep 14, 2026Shah Leads AZ-01 Forecasts at 67%, But Bettors Price Him at 80%Call the Map gives Shah a D+2.9 projected margin; prediction markets have surged 9 points in three days on fundraising and open-seat momentum.Sep 9, 2026Feely Outraises Shah as AZ-01 Democratic Odds Fall 8 PointsPrediction markets price Democrats at 71% in AZ-01, down from 79%. Feely holds a $500K fundraising lead and a Trump endorsement in the open-seat race.Sep 3, 2026
Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $102K lifetime bet $1K on Yes at 73¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $19.6K lifetime bet $3.6K on No at 72¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $17.6K lifetime bet $625 on No at 71¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $148K lifetime bet $2.5K on No at 28¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for AZ-05 in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 2%AZ-01 Republican nominee?WONPre-event: 100%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for AZ-05 in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTJay Feely (R)
Pre-event: 2%

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONJay Feely (R)
Pre-event: 100%