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Live prediction market odds for Florida Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Florida Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Byron Donalds (R)79¢1.27xKalshiDavid Jolly (D)23¢4.35xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Byron Donalds (R) about a 77.5% chance. David Jolly (D) follows at 22.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Byron Donalds (R) about a 77.5% chance. David Jolly (D) follows at 22.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Florida Governor race in 2026. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a pivotal election in the political landscape of Florida.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
BD
Byron Donalds (R)
78%
Kalshi79¢
Polymarket78¢
PredictIt82¢
Kalshi1.27x79¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
78.0%78¢79¢21¢22¢
PolymarketPolymarket
77.0%77¢78¢22¢23¢
PredictItPredictIt
80.0%79¢82¢18¢21¢
DJ
David Jolly (D)
22%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket23¢
PredictIt23¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
PredictItPredictIt
20.0%19¢23¢77¢81¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Byron Donalds (R)

Byron Donalds is the U.S. Representative for Florida's 19th congressional district. He served in the Florida House of Representatives from 2016 to 2020. He is a candidate in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

About David Jolly (D)

David Jolly is a Democratic candidate for Florida governor in 2026. He served as U.S. Representative for Florida's 13th district from 2014 to 2017. Jolly is known for his bipartisan approach and advocacy for campaign finance reform, gun violence prevention, reproductive freedom, and environmental issues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Byron Donalds (R)

77.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Florida Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Florida pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Florida Governor race?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors. Additionally, voter turnout and major state issues will impact the election outcome.

When is the Florida Governor election scheduled?

The election is set for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial as it coincides with the general election cycle in the U.S.

How do prediction markets work for political events?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes.

What does the Florida Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Florida Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Byron Donalds (R): 78.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket, 80.0¢ on PredictIt; David Jolly (D): 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket, 20.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Florida in 2026?WONPre-event: 84%Florida Republican Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 99%Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd placeLOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for Governor in Florida in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONByron Donalds (R)
Pre-event: 84%

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-18

WONByron Donalds (R)
Pre-event: 99%

Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place

Resolved

2026-08-18

LOSTByron Donalds (R)
Pre-event: 1%

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Florida Governor Trading Triples as Donalds Holds 84% Over Jolly$83K traded Sept 17, triple the weekly baseline, with Donalds at 84% composite as the Nov. 3 election closes in.Sep 18, 2026