Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Senate winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Minnesota Senate winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Minnesota Senate winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and shape legislative priorities for years to come.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Peggy Flanagan (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person A | No result |
Person B | No result |
Person C | No result |
Person D | No result |
Person E | No result |
Person F | No result |
Person G | No result |
Person H | No result |
Person I | No result |
Person J | No result |
Michele Tafoya (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Minnesota. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign funding play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout predictions can significantly impact market movements.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Control of the Senate is at stake, which can affect the passage of legislation on key issues. The outcome may also influence the political landscape heading into future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
