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Live prediction market odds for New Hampshire Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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New Hampshire Governor winner?

2026-11-17

Best price · tap to trade

Kelly Ayotte (R)93¢1.08xPolymarket USCinde Warmington (D)8¢12.50xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Kelly Ayotte (R) about a 92.5% chance. Cinde Warmington (D) follows at 6.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Traders give Kelly Ayotte (R) about a 92.5% chance. Cinde Warmington (D) follows at 6.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the New Hampshire gubernatorial election. The election will be decided on November 17, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter turnout projections leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KA
Kelly Ayotte (R)
92%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket US93¢
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket US1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.8%90¢93¢7¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
92.0%92¢93¢7¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
CW
Cinde Warmington (D)ARB
7%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.2%7¢10¢90¢93¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
8.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.2%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Kelly Ayotte (R)

Kelly Ayotte is the 83rd Governor of New Hampshire, serving since January 9, 2025. She previously served as a U.S. Senator from New Hampshire from 2011 to 2017 and as the state's Attorney General from 2004 to 2009. Ayotte's extensive experience in public service and law enforcement leadership makes her a significant figure in New Hampshire's political landscape.

About Cinde Warmington (D)

Cinde Warmington is a Democratic candidate for Governor of New Hampshire in the 2026 election. She served on the New Hampshire Executive Council from 2021 to 2025. Warmington has a background in healthcare law and has been involved in state politics for over two decades.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Kelly Ayotte (R)

92.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New Hampshire Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New Hampshire. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the New Hampshire gubernatorial election?

The New Hampshire gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 17, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the winner of the race.

What factors influence the odds for the New Hampshire Governor race?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter turnout projections. These elements can shift significantly as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the New Hampshire Governor winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the New Hampshire gubernatorial election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.

What does the New Hampshire Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest New Hampshire Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Kelly Ayotte (R): 91.8¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cinde Warmington (D): 7.2¢ on Kalshi, 5.2¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

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Historical Track Record

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New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-09-08

WONCinde Warmington (D)
Pre-event: 98%