Next Prime Minister of Spain
Live prediction market odds for Next Prime Minister of Spain. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Traders give Alberto Núñez Feijóo about a 83.5% chance. Pedro Sánchez follows at 13.4%, Santiago Abascal follows at 2.0%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next Prime Minister will be determined by the results of the general elections. Factors influencing the outcome include party performance and coalition negotiations.
Market odds fluctuate based on polling data, party announcements, and political developments leading up to the elections. Significant events such as debates or scandals can also impact the odds.
Scheduled trading will close on March 31, 2028. However, the actual election results may be determined earlier, depending on the election timeline.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 83.5¢ on Polymarket, 83.5¢ on Predict.fun; Pedro Sánchez: 13.3¢ on Polymarket, 13.4¢ on Predict.fun; Santiago Abascal: 2.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Predict.fun; Isabel Díaz Ayuso: 0.2¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Smart money is betting against Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Buy No at 17¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Smart money is betting against Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Buy No at 17¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
