Nigerian presidential election winner?
Live prediction market odds for Nigerian presidential election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Bola Tinubu about a 68.5% chance. Peter Obi follows at 23.0%, Atiku Abubakar follows at 9.3%, and Kashim Shettima follows at 2.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.3 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the winner of the next Nigerian presidential election in 2027 is Peter Obi, then the market resolves to Yes.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and current political climate. Economic conditions and public sentiment also play significant roles.
Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as polling data and candidate debates. Major events or scandals can also lead to rapid changes.
The election will shape Nigeria's domestic and foreign policies for the next four years. It also has implications for regional stability and economic growth in West Africa.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Bola Tinubu: 68.5¢ on Kalshi, 68.5¢ on Polymarket; Peter Obi: 24.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.0¢ on Polymarket; Atiku Abubakar: 6.2¢ on Kalshi, 12.4¢ on Polymarket; Kashim Shettima: 2.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
