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Live prediction market odds for North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US

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North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Above 3.80M78¢1.28xKalshiAbove 3.90M73¢1.37xKalshiAbove 4.10M39¢2.56xKalshi
Compare all 5 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 3.80M about a 74.5% chance. Above 3.90M follows at 72.3%, Above 4.10M follows at 39.0%, and Above 4.50M follows at 23.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.0 percentage points.

Traders give Above 3.80M about a 74.5% chance. Above 3.90M follows at 72.3%, Above 4.10M follows at 39.0%, and Above 4.50M follows at 23.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.0 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking voter turnout for the North Carolina Senate General Election. High turnout levels could indicate strong voter engagement and influence the election's outcome, making this a critical metric for both parties involved.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
A3
Above 3.80M
single venue75%
Kalshi78¢
—
Kalshi1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
74.5%71¢78¢22¢29¢
A3
Above 3.90M
72%
Kalshi73¢
Polymarket US75¢
Kalshi1.37x73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
70.0%64¢73¢27¢36¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
74.5%74¢75¢25¢26¢
A4
Above 4.10M
single venue39%
Kalshi39¢
—
Kalshi2.56x39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
39.0%7¢39¢61¢93¢
A4
Above 4.50M
23%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket US32¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
21.0%14¢30¢70¢86¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
25.5%19¢32¢68¢81¢
A4
Above 4.30M
22%
Kalshi29¢
Polymarket US32¢
Kalshi3.45x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%8¢29¢71¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
16.0%16¢32¢68¢84¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread11.0%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

Above 3.80M

74.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election is above 3800000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from North Carolina is above 3,900,000 (3.9M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is voter turnout significant in the North Carolina Senate General Election?

Voter turnout is a key indicator of public interest and engagement in the electoral process. Higher turnout can favor certain candidates or parties, impacting the overall election results.

What factors can influence voter turnout in this election?

Factors such as campaign strategies, voter mobilization efforts, and current political issues can significantly affect turnout. Additionally, weather conditions and local events on election day may also play a role.

How do prediction markets gauge voter turnout?

Prediction markets aggregate bets on various outcomes, reflecting the collective sentiment of participants regarding voter turnout. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in expectations based on new information or events leading up to the election.

What does the North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout odds?

The latest available prices are Above 3.80M: 74.5¢ on Kalshi; Above 3.90M: 70.0¢ on Kalshi, 74.5¢ on Polymarket US; Above 4.10M: 39.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 4.50M: 21.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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