Live prediction market odds for TX-28 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-28 House race set for November 4, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-28 House race set for November 4, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in Texas.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Henry Cuellar (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Tano Tijerina (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-28 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-28 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, voter turnout, and local issues. Polling data and endorsements also play a crucial role in shaping market expectations.
The outcome could affect the overall composition of the House of Representatives, influencing legislative priorities. Additionally, it may serve as a bellwether for upcoming elections in other districts.
Results are expected to be reported on election night, November 4, 2026. However, final certification of the results may take several days or weeks, depending on the state’s election procedures.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
