Which party will win the next UK general election?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the next UK general election?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Labour party about a 37.5% chance. Reform party follows at 29.0%, Conservative party follows at 25.5%, and Restore Britain party follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
The next UK general election is scheduled for August 31, 2029. This date is significant as it will determine the future government and its policies.
Odds are influenced by public opinion polls, party performance, and key issues affecting voters. Economic conditions and major events leading up to the election can also shift market sentiment.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of each party winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Labour party: 37.5¢ on Kalshi; Reform party: 29.0¢ on Kalshi; Conservative party: 25.5¢ on Kalshi; Restore Britain party: 2.9¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
