Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Live prediction market odds for Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election. The outcome will influence local governance and policy direction, making it a focal point for voters and political analysts alike.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Pete Fry | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person B | No result |
Person C | No result |
Person D | No result |
Person E | No result |
Person F | No result |
Person G | No result |
Person H | No result |
Person I | No result |
Person J | No result |
Person K | No result |
Person L | No result |
Person M | No result |
Person N | No result |
Person O | No result |
Person P | No result |
Person Q | No result |
Person R | No result |
Person S | No result |
Person T | No result |
Person U | No result |
Person V | No result |
Person W | No result |
Person X | No result |
Person Y | No result |
Person Z | No result |
Amanda Burrows | No |
Colleen Hardwick | No |
Fred Harding | No |
John Coupar | No |
Kareem Allam | No |
Ken Sim | No |
Kirk LaPointe | No |
Person A | No |
Rebecca Bligh | No |
Sean Orr | No |
Tim Louis | No |
William Azaroff | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Ken Sim wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner. The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline. If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.
The election will determine the leadership of Vancouver, impacting local policies on housing, transportation, and public services. Voter turnout and candidate platforms will play crucial roles in shaping the city's future.
Prediction markets aggregate bets on various outcomes, reflecting the collective sentiment and expectations of participants. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or emerging campaign dynamics.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, and current events affecting the city. Additionally, debates and endorsements can significantly sway public perception and market odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
