Live prediction market odds for VA-05 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. John McGuire (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-05 House Election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-05 House Election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after polls close on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
John McGuire (R)WINNER | Yes |
Tom Perriello (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for VA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the VA-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Decision Desk HQ. Any references to Decision Desk HQ or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Decision Desk HQ and Polymarket US.
The VA-05 House Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks when polls will close and results will be officially announced.
Odds for the VA-05 House Election fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaigning and public opinion. Market participants react to polling data and endorsements leading up to the election.
The market resolves based on the official announcement of the election winner after the polls close. Only the results certified by election officials will determine the outcome.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
