Live prediction market odds for Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Resolved 2026-08-11
This market resolved on 2026-08-11. Francesca Hong was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the nomination for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor in 2026.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the nomination for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor in 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in state politics and impact national Democratic strategies leading into the general election.
| Candidate |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Francesca HongWINNER | 95% | 95% | 96% | 96% |
Mandela Barnes | 0% | — | 0% | 1% |
Francesca Hong
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Mandela Barnes wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Mandela Barnes wins the Democratic nomination to contest the 2026 election for Governor of Wisconsin. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in Wisconsin can sway voter preferences.
Candidates typically campaign for support from party members and delegates leading up to the primary election. The nominee is selected based on the majority of votes received during the primary.
Winning the governorship can lead to significant policy changes at the state level, affecting issues like healthcare, education, and taxation. Furthermore, it can shape the Democratic Party's strategy for future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Francesca Hong: 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.7¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on PredictIt, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Mandela Barnes: 0.1¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
