Live prediction market odds for MT-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-01 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-01 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will play a crucial role in determining the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sam Forstag (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Aaron Flint (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MT-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MT-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political climate and local issues can sway public opinion.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The MT-01 House race is significant as it could impact the overall control of the House of Representatives. A shift in power may lead to changes in legislative agendas and priorities.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
