Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Live prediction market odds for Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Toronto mayoral election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Toronto mayoral election. This election is pivotal as it will shape the city's leadership and policies in a time of urban challenges and opportunities.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Olivia Chow | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person A | No result |
Person B | No result |
Person C | No result |
Person D | No result |
Person E | No result |
Person F | No result |
Person G | No result |
Person H | No result |
Person I | No result |
Person J | No result |
Person K | No result |
Person L | No result |
Person M | No result |
Person N | No result |
Person O | No result |
Person P | No result |
Person Q | No result |
Person R | No result |
Person S | No result |
Person T | No result |
Person U | No result |
Person V | No result |
Person W | No result |
Person X | No result |
Person Y | No result |
Person Z | No result |
Ana Bailão | No |
Anthony Furey | No |
Brad Bradford | No |
John Tory | No |
Kevin Clarke | No |
Marco Mendicino | No |
Michael Ford | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner. The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline. If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is scheduled for October 26, 2026. This date is critical as it will determine the city's next mayor.
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate announcements, and public sentiment regarding key issues in Toronto. Economic conditions and local events also play a significant role.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of each candidate winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
