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Elections Market News & Analysis

Castor FL-14 Re-Election Odds Fall 10 Points to Near Toss-Up

Prediction markets price Castor at 59% as Inside Elections calls FL-14 a toss-up, the first genuinely competitive rating of her 18-year tenure.

Tonko Hits 96% on Kalshi as Markets Close Gap With Forecasters

Casar's TX-37 Opponent Has $770. Why Not 100%?

Markets Price Elmano at 61% While Datafolha Shows a Dead Heat

Miller Trails by 8 in OH-07 Polls as Market Prices Him at 32%

Don Beyer Hits 96% in VA-08 as GOP Fields No Real Challenger

Fong Hits 98% in CA-20 After $45M in Grants and Wildfire Law

FL-17: Why Steube's 94% Market Price Lags a 98% Forecast

Leiper Drops 9 Points in Ottawa Mayor Race After Rival's Arrest

Forecasters Rate Cammack 97-98% in FL-03 While Markets Sit at 94%

Virginia Foxx Hits 88% in NC-05 as Markets Correct a Persistent

Rodriguez Polls Tied in FL-27, but Bettors Cut His Chances 10 Points

Steve Womack Hits 96% in AR-03 as Challenger Raises Just $120K

Dyas Drops 14 Points in Three Days as Cannan Leads Kelowna Mayor Race

Conaway Hits 94% in NJ-03 as Cook Rates Seat Solid D

Gooden Hits 94% in TX-05 as Ethics Probe Fails to Dent His Reelection

AI-PAC Spending Gives DeSpain Her Best Attack as Hoyle Sits at 95%

Moolenaar Hits 98% in MI-02 After Challenger Wins Split Primary with 44%

Ken Sim Falls to 28% as Progressives Unite Behind Pete Fry

Graham's SC Senate Odds Hold at 87% After 5.7x Volume Spike

Stelson's PA-10 Odds Drop 12 Points as First Fall Poll Shows Perry +3

DCCC Backing Pushes Barrett to 31% Underdog in MI-07

Jackson's Maine Senate Odds Fall 8 Points as Collins Fights Back

Meloni Hits 44% to Win Italy's Next Election After Electoral Reform